NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe907fb74f409b2505cf73a6752704b0d75cc4469b1cf369b4d878aaff7238c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…7800backed Under | 46c | 6,947$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…3904backed Under | 46c | 6,880$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…3242backed Over | 54c | 6,800$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…aed4backed Under | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd929…9143backed Over | 54c | 6,400$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6e…33a0backed Under | 46c | 6,250$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ac…78f3backed Over | 53c | 6,042$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1109…cc8cbacked Over | 54c | 5,890$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f5…9d20backed Over | 54c | 5,800$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…eba2backed Under | 46c | 5,260$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 50c | 3,985$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.5 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 50c | 3,704$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 3,331$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.63 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…37febacked Over | 54c | 3,166$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…414cbacked Over | 54c | 2,779$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…d015backed Over | 54c | 2,721$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…5b8abacked Over | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,546$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…f275backed Over | 54c | 2,334$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,328$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.82 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…2a02backed Under | 47c | 2,298$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…420abacked Over | 54c | 2,277$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ba…bc2abacked Under | 47c | 2,164$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…d89bbacked Over | 54c | 2,070$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa91e…de6cbacked Under | 47c | 1,880$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,341$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,147$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 950.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 841.78$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.31 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 53c | 804.43$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.35 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed Under | 46c | 720$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…c75ebacked Under | 46c | 696$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…e01bbacked Under | 46c | 695$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 678.63$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…8453backed Under | 46c | 668$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked Under | 46c | 667$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…1dfebacked Under | 46c | 639$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…285ebacked Under | 46c | 634$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…7bb7backed Under | 46c | 611$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…4be6backed Under | 46c | 601$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…12d0backed Under | 46c | 584$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…bb0fbacked Under | 46c | 567$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…a555backed Under | 46c | 556$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Under | 44c | 540$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 57c | 534.84$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.71 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…a1a4backed Under | 46c | 534$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…a9debacked Under | 46c | 528$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…f6a2backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…0dcebacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…33a7backed Under | 46c | 467$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 51c | 437.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.17 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…bc66backed Under | 46c | 433$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…b139backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 46c | 320$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 287$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 48c | 231.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 220.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 44c | 198.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7256backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Over | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 141.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Over | 55c | 90.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 27c | 61.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 55.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 38c | 52.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 42.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 49c | 33.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f38ebacked Over | 54c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 51c | 19.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Lakers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.