TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Under49c30,019$14,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,359.26654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00040350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c16,533$8,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,105.022,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over47c15,368$7,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,222.9144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under50c13,862$6,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,930.9939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over50c10,180$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,09229347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fdb…873fbacked Over52c8,929$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,643450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Under55c7,273$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.732955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf554…3614backed Under51c7,188$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c07…c535backed Under51c6,496$3,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101f…90fdbacked Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…a0b0backed Under51c5,999$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b9…6065backed Over49c5,421$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6785…2e0ebacked Over49c5,300$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f1…1149backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over52c4,010$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42d…74e5backed Under51c3,332$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over48c2,651$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.5413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under55c2,464$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.631,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c2,389$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over52c2,284$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05fe…3904backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92017744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under52c1,938$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca7…eba2backed Over49c1,925$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfd…aed4backed Over49c1,890$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef6e…33a0backed Over49c1,878$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.855945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f5…9d20backed Over49c1,785$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd929…9143backed Over49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over51c1,570$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.6242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2be…6ab9backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd012…3242backed Over49c1,350$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1109…cc8cbacked Over49c1,256$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c1,135$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9d…1db9backed Over49c1,110$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef04…9ef0backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over49c992.99$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.619647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over6c854.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2520837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over47c800$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.822138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under52c696.94$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5315650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c466.58$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c418.25$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.942,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under52c411.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5712143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Over6c302.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.131822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under51c276$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Over50c244.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4710446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c226.06$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.451,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c211$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.173,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596b…6c22backed Under52c207$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.361250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…3a31backed Over49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.431030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcaa3…a86fbacked Under52c202$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba5…6ff7backed Over49c202$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10236649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…de9cbacked Under52c198$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…1dafbacked Over49c198$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf11c…654fbacked Under52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…a7d1backed Over49c195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.551040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Over52c191.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1990…5358backed Under77c181.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Over49c179$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.711643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa395…a298backed Under52c179$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.921573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under52c171.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.335747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2772250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under50c138.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1118043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081f…9fcdbacked Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.62875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under48c103.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0818339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Under51c103.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5610953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.445653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc708…4ebcbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under53c94.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3724138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.95851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under52c72.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9921645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under50c69.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6220651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under51c63.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3111241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over52c61.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8843244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.630132.6%98 W · 203 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Over49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.256636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…c8fbbacked Under51c40.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168e…98b3backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.