NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026a93ccaccf805f2832dca0f211133d72a60a905394f8ebd5e1a030c5286ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 50c | 10,250$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 52c | 10,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 9,482$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,200$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 48c | 8,169$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.3 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,071$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…b764backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,960$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…2099backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,647$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…6621backed Lakers | 52c | 6,377$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lakers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,295$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,621$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.3 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…26cabacked Lakers | 52c | 4,321$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…7bdebacked Lakers | 52c | 3,867$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…9beabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,796$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9286…0b72backed Lakers | 52c | 3,150$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,012$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.04 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…97fdbacked Lakers | 52c | 3,011$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…f9a1backed Lakers | 52c | 2,795$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…b08abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,722$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…bc66backed Lakers | 52c | 2,666$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…3639backed Lakers | 52c | 2,525$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…0d75backed Lakers | 51c | 2,439$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…4ffbbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,272$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…a9debacked Lakers | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…0dcebacked Lakers | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83df…14afbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,189$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…9b6cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.15 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 49c | 1,882$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…57a5backed Lakers | 52c | 1,850$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…b139backed Lakers | 52c | 1,839$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…6f4abacked Lakers | 52c | 1,744$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…b09abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,701$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.27 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lakers | 49c | 1,563$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.05 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.29 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…5b10backed Lakers | 52c | 1,424$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,340$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.82 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…61d6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,281$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,111$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.53 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,105$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.6 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…02acbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…fcc6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,080$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…c300backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 49c | 1,020$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.13 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…8525backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…8ca5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 950$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers | 49c | 949.4$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.21 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 921.57$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.57 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…5982backed Cavaliers | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Lakers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Cavaliers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Lakers | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Lakers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…c75ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 596$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…e01bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 575$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…4be6backed Cavaliers | 48c | 568$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Lakers | 49c | 545.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…285ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 534$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 531$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…1dfebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 522.67$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…8453backed Cavaliers | 48c | 501$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…7bb7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…d015backed Cavaliers | 48c | 475$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…bb0fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 467$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 460$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…414cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…a1a4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 434$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…12d0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 425$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 406.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Lakers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…a555backed Cavaliers | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…37febacked Cavaliers | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Cavaliers | 50c | 398.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Lakers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…f275backed Cavaliers | 48c | 367$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 352.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 51c | 333.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…33a7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 319.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…f6a2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Lakers | 51c | 296.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Lakers | 51c | 276.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 228.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Cavaliers | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Lakers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.