TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Kings, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,225,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,202,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,225,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings23c108,449$24,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,943.2587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Pelicans54c80,000$43,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,8001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a65…9142backed Kings46c80,000$36,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,8001060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans72c40,611$29,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,370.441,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans77c37,420$28,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,644.891,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans77c35,005$26,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,068.8520551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans73c29,636$21,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,001.6838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Kings0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Pelicans77c24,587$18,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.0117356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings26c23,656$6,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,237.0551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans77c22,922$17,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,272.1448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Kings23c20,011$4,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,602.534235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Kings22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.975349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans76c18,561$14,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,513.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans73c17,896$13,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,883.821,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c16,900$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.57211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings25c15,499$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.972,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings28c13,868$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.222,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings0c12,981$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8867911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans77c11,404$8,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.161,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pelicans77c10,844$8,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,494.1552460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Pelicans78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2004856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Kings25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Kings23c9,999$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.7715247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Kings27c9,659$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.9924744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans71c9,500$6,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.9277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Pelicans69c9,306$6,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.8619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings23c8,668$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.6119136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pelicans77c7,500$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Kings0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…5f74backed Kings17c7,497$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2451747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c7,432$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.288820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans71c7,265$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings24c7,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings1c7,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans75c6,950$5,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.123,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pelicans78c5,918$4,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.1748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Kings15c5,500$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8159117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings29c5,313$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kings27c5,286$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.1738148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Pelicans78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.2120849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Kings27c5,090$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.0514344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Pelicans77c5,005$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.1523245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Pelicans77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Pelicans71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9616339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings20c4,814$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.93,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans73c4,588$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Kings23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Kings27c4,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14427247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings25c4,117$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.731,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings30c4,100$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95d…e8ecbacked Kings23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pelicans77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Pelicans74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0405242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Kings26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.989828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Kings26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.955457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Kings31c3,855$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1953857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Kings30c3,718$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.3911940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Kings27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Kings12c3,670$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1926842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings27c3,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings30c3,355$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pelicans76c3,331$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.4659653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings28c3,294$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.7455346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings28c3,089$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.9580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings10c3,086$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.151,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kings23c2,907$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Kings30c2,860$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85817141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd94d…5f73backed Pelicans72c2,800$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d6…d1e3backed Kings18c2,792$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019949.7%99 W · 100 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1215…2699backed Kings30c2,742$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a5…5927backed Pelicans70c2,736$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e8…da11backed Kings19c2,675$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.33655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Kings27c2,525$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.5713652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Kings28c2,500$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69419735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pelicans74c2,366$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.1328649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Kings1c2,323$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.884573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Kings23c2,250$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.58530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kings27c2,218$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.5216440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings30c2,188$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings23c2,175$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1935438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3564…9ea0backed Pelicans71c2,170$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans73c2,168$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.184,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae7…d452backed Kings29c2,163$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.271266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd30…47bbbacked Kings29c2,155$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624d…91fcbacked Pelicans71c2,149$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d2…66e9backed Pelicans71c2,100$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6091478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ca2…90a1backed Kings26c2,100$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.981241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…fbfebacked Kings29c2,093$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f62…65d8backed Kings24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013836.2%50 W · 88 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Kings24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Kings35c2,015$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.0828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Pelicans74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5204951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Pelicans76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Kings1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Pelicans70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Kings26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Kings30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…e911backed Kings29c1,853$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.