NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c75e732cfe72b751b0a149d0f99096a014dfa6b80dbc4a2fd6ca0d727ead526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 44c | 8,795$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 46c | 6,840$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans | 58c | 6,775$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.49 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b10…5a48backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,318$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.31 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 56c | 3,641$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.25 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…6690backed Kings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 45c | 2,742$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.99 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Pelicans | 57c | 2,326$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…c8adbacked Kings | 49c | 2,318$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 43c | 2,112$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,583$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 42c | 1,210$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.37 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Kings | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1605backed Kings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 42c | 947.91$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.43 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Pelicans | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…f1fdbacked Kings | 49c | 498$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Kings | 51c | 445.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kings | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kings | 45c | 222.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pelicans | 53c | 189.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Pelicans | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…ab0bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…1888backed Kings | 50c | 169.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…32acbacked Pelicans | 52c | 165.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…2868backed Kings | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…916dbacked Kings | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…6bb1backed Pelicans | 52c | 148$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 52c | 135.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…b4f6backed Kings | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 48c | 121.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pelicans | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pelicans | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Kings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0e…152ebacked Pelicans | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Pelicans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Pelicans | 54c | 92.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Kings | 46c | 92.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Pelicans | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Pelicans | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 43c | 67.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 47c | 52.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans | 58c | 44.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pelicans | 58c | 40.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Pelicans | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 45c | 33.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Kings | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Pelicans | 59c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…c1f2backed Pelicans | 59c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Pelicans | 57c | 24.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kings | 45c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Pelicans | 59c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Pelicans | 59c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Pelicans | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Pelicans | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Pelicans | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Pelicans | 59c | 17.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)this page
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.