NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b55b213f4d41ecf371a0308ea5e9bac95667b048828593908c5d6011f53c46f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,330,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,440,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,330,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 19c | 67,045$12,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,306.67 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 75c | 51,003$38,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,389.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Raptors | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,399.81 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…76b3backed Thunder | 76c | 33,748$25,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,557.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 26c | 32,564$8,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,046.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 67c | 31,705$21,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,090.77 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Raptors | 24c | 27,778$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,111.27 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 69c | 26,662$18,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,446.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Raptors | 40c | 25,088$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,088.18 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Thunder | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Thunder | 71c | 22,338$15,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,882.77 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Thunder | 68c | 21,992$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,994 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.89 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Raptors | 25c | 19,586$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,763.57 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 19c | 18,322$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,821.72 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 25c | 16,116$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,096.61 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Raptors | 20c | 15,978$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,829.09 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Thunder | 67c | 15,278$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249.46 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 76c | 15,041$11,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.32 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Raptors | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 19c | 14,184$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,476.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 17c | 13,649$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,328.59 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors | 35c | 12,874$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.88 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Raptors | 27c | 11,988$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,740.44 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Raptors | 18c | 11,654$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,542.54 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Raptors | 22c | 11,606$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,106.08 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Raptors | 19c | 10,001$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,056.18 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 19c | 9,760$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,901.89 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 24c | 8,855$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Raptors | 23c | 8,839$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.51 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 55c | 8,581$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.15 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Thunder | 78c | 8,197$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.88 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Raptors | 28c | 7,446$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.24 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 79c | 7,352$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825.37 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 18c | 7,050$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Raptors | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors | 24c | 6,530$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.32 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors | 36c | 6,344$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.08 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Raptors | 19c | 6,296$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.58 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Thunder | 76c | 6,208$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Raptors | 18c | 5,975$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,895.47 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Raptors | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 72c | 5,600$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.66 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Raptors | 26c | 5,358$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Raptors | 20c | 5,128$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,102.57 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Raptors | 24c | 5,100$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.5 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Raptors | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Thunder | 80c | 5,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.9 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Thunder | 73c | 4,994$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.77 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…1d3dbacked Raptors | 18c | 4,900$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors | 34c | 4,390$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.63 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Thunder | 70c | 4,233$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.35 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Raptors | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed77…d9d0backed Raptors | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Thunder | 75c | 3,887$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.68 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Raptors | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors | 28c | 3,286$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.45 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 25c | 3,280$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.05 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Raptors | 20c | 3,147$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.28 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Raptors | 20c | 3,128$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.63 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Raptors | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Raptors | 19c | 3,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.96 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…5e5fbacked Thunder | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Raptors | 19c | 2,913$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.31 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 72c | 2,830$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raptors | 18c | 2,821$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.06 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Raptors | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.78 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Raptors | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.67 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Raptors | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Thunder | 0c | 2,543$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Raptors | 20c | 2,538$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Raptors | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…146abacked Raptors | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 80c | 2,404$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.43 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae1…faefbacked Raptors | 18c | 2,400$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Thunder | 63c | 2,345$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.9 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Raptors | 42c | 2,330$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Raptors | 22c | 2,274$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.97 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Raptors | 20c | 2,200$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 74c | 2,044$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.01 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Raptors | 23c | 2,039$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.47 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…fdffbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,000$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 1c | 1,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 53c | 1,912$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.91 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a0…9251backed Raptors | 19c | 1,900$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 79c | 1,888$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.43 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 14c | 1,819$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.41 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Thunder | 1c | 1,777$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Raptors | 27c | 1,745$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.56 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Raptors | 29c | 1,734$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.53 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Raptors | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.38 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Thunder | 66c | 1,660$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 36c | 1,626$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.43 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Thunder | 79c | 1,621$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.38 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Raptors | 22c | 1,556$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.34 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed Raptors | 18c | 1,505$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Raptors | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Thunderthis page
- Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.