NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d0560eb7c3a2a0822fcda8c2d15e6f0df441c40b12f085dc338009e67a0c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 53c | 476,034$254,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,448.61 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 450,000$209,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 15,292$7,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,239.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 9,999$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.47 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Over | 53c | 8,915$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.23 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…d6aabacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under | 47c | 7,972$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 6,355$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.79 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 55c | 6,307$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.91 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 6,268$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 5,360$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 5,207$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…0599backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 4,443$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 3,568$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.51 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Over | 19c | 3,408$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.8 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 55c | 2,307$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.79 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,116$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.95 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 2,010$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.83 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,968$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 60c | 1,943$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.52 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,900$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,861$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 52c | 1,572$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.64 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 7c | 1,503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 1,349$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.87 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,045$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 938.37$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 45c | 912.18$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.7 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 2c | 823.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 10c | 592.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 511.34$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 55c | 496.69$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 477$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 55c | 471.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 55c | 467.11$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.91 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 47c | 425.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Under | 42c | 400$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 396.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 46c | 366.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Over | 55c | 303.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 265$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 46c | 264.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 17c | 239.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Over | 55c | 229$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 62c | 225.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 39c | 219.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 58c | 206.18$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 200.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…b90dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 55c | 186$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 55c | 181.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 56c | 178.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Over | 55c | 175.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 174.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Over | 55c | 156.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 55c | 146.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…3d9bbacked Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 130.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Under | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 115.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…76e3backed Over | 11c | 110.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Over | 55c | 102.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Over | 55c | 98.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Over | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 55c | 95.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Over | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 53c | 93.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c2…4d5cbacked Over | 54c | 92.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 53c | 90.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5this page
- Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. ThunderRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.