NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9aaa294f62a2d39f5aa2f49be1fc6b88af30c0c96bf7a05baff242227a5972b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Over | 52c | 187,211$97,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,814.02 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 150,000$71,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,750 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 116,890$59,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,614.05 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 53c | 113,358$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,999.71 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 60,000$29,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,669.11 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Under | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 55,000$26,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 27,023$12,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,055.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 8,179$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 8,134$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.61 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 53c | 7,340$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.46 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.13 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under | 48c | 6,111$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.72 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 4,298$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 49c | 4,083$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.84 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 3c | 3,384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,990$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over | 50c | 2,838$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.71 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4ac8backed Under | 52c | 2,383$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 1c | 2,282$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 12c | 2,044$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 1,906$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 1,787$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.11 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 1,665$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 50c | 1,407$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 3c | 1,309$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,200$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Under | 48c | 1,145$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 21c | 1,097$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,094$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 1,091$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 974.11$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 47c | 799.98$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Over | 3c | 653.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Over | 51c | 589.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 50c | 446.24$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 48c | 379.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 54c | 370$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 54c | 333$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 11c | 332.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 325$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 322$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 53c | 320.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 24c | 310.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 40c | 279.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 16c | 278.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 238.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 195.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Over | 53c | 187.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Over | 56c | 179.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 52c | 157$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 49c | 137.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 137$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 53c | 127.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…fc54backed Under | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 9c | 117.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 29c | 116.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…0a5ebacked Under | 72c | 110.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 103.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Over | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d0eabacked Under | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 49c | 92.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 14c | 86.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9606…c991backed Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ee…37ffbacked Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…9046backed Under | 68c | 73.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…5961backed Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d15…2d65backed Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…0078backed Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5this page
- Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. ThunderRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.