NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ea3e015882aba5e772abc5b4b2db06abf58b9aebe991c59cc32ffbbe134e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,994,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,076,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,994,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons | 50c | 335,469$166,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,867.94 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…604abacked Pistons | 50c | 274,640$137,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,320.12 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 50c | 251,540$125,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,754.65 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors | 51c | 167,143$84,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,563.05 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 50c | 111,335$55,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,124.68 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 16c | 58,722$9,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,166.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Raptors | 51c | 50,651$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Raptors | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.82 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 54c | 48,425$26,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,107.31 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 54c | 45,250$24,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,926.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 50c | 41,984$20,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,840.25 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 50c | 40,800$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Raptors | 50c | 40,400$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 47c | 39,301$18,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,471.58 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 50c | 38,564$19,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,132.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons | 49c | 34,490$16,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,544.76 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Raptors | 50c | 34,260$17,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,129.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 49c | 33,691$16,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,422.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed Pistons | 53c | 31,553$16,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,829.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Raptors | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Raptors | 50c | 29,363$14,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,681.74 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors | 1c | 28,486$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Raptors | 50c | 27,149$13,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,574.69 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Raptors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Pistons | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 50c | 25,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pistons | 51c | 25,000$12,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,299.87 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Raptors | 49c | 24,527$12,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,123.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raptors | 50c | 24,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,899.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Pistons | 52c | 23,680$12,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,366.52 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…9550backed Raptors | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 15c | 21,730$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.73 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Raptors | 49c | 20,000$9,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.21 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Pistons | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Pistons | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 26c | 19,229$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 57c | 19,175$10,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,290.22 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Raptors | 50c | 19,063$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,531.5 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors | 49c | 18,367$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 25c | 17,911$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.63 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Raptors | 50c | 17,776$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 49c | 17,723$8,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,746.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 50c | 15,769$7,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,884.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Raptors | 50c | 15,743$7,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,871.5 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Raptors | 50c | 15,699$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.5 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Raptors | 50c | 15,699$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.5 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors | 14c | 15,475$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.72 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Pistons | 50c | 15,021$7,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,510.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Raptors | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Pistons | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Raptors | 45c | 14,239$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.57 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 50c | 13,615$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors | 1c | 12,334$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Pistons | 67c | 12,065$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.06 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Raptors | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 50c | 11,408$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 49c | 11,033$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 21c | 10,934$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 47c | 10,500$4,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,934.77 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Pistons | 74c | 10,438$7,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.8 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Raptors | 49c | 10,086$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.14 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.77 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…4c2ebacked Pistons | 54c | 9,900$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 29c | 9,688$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.41 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed Raptors | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Pistons | 50c | 9,400$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.92 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pistons | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 54c | 8,500$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Raptors | 47c | 8,232$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.19 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Raptors | 50c | 8,104$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 45c | 8,044$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.9 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Pistons | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons | 50c | 7,420$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Raptors | 25c | 7,265$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.15 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 7,207$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Pistons | 51c | 7,158$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.78 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pistons | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 1c | 6,771$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Raptors | 17c | 6,643$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.51 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Raptors | 50c | 6,464$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Raptors | 48c | 6,398$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.99 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 31c | 6,241$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Raptors | 3c | 6,142$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pistons | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Raptors | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Raptors | 33c | 6,000$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.86 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors | 0c | 5,989$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Pistons | 75c | 5,735$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pistons | 53c | 5,571$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…e102backed Raptors | 49c | 5,432$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.