NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa198e6e0d6157f7b6e0675bce44efcdb1bf2947c80fbe980157b71534d2d3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba83…4f66backed Pistons | 71c | 112.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 27c | 57.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…443ebacked Raptors | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…2ed0backed Raptors | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Raptors | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…b717backed Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Pistons | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e68ebacked Raptors | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…9683backed Pistons | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Pistons | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.