NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066a5bb9c67fe73ada542510ed64fc31bb7565825455accb1214fa0468502ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons | 44c | 52,676$23,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,502.32 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 58c | 25,268$14,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,623.8 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,880 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 55c | 16,284$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Raptors | 56c | 11,607$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 55c | 6,173$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.71 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 56c | 4,882$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.73 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 55c | 4,869$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 56c | 4,371$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Pistons | 47c | 4,240$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 50c | 4,025$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons | 44c | 3,385$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.22 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors | 56c | 2,875$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Pistons | 44c | 2,432$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.82 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 43c | 1,822$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raptors | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Pistons | 44c | 1,682$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.81 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 42c | 1,431$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.96 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 47c | 1,150$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 34c | 1,129$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.67 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Pistons | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 56c | 1,021$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pistons | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Raptors | 54c | 671.38$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.55 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Raptors | 54c | 655.56$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Pistons | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 42c | 515.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pistons | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 42c | 464.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Raptors | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pistons | 47c | 430.38$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.1 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Pistons | 43c | 409.56$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…c6adbacked Pistons | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 61c | 271.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pistons | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 43c | 248.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…1802backed Pistons | 45c | 196.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Raptors | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Raptors | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Raptors | 58c | 173.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 42c | 167$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Raptors | 57c | 161$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Raptors | 41c | 159.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 64c | 155.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Pistons | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Pistons | 45c | 149.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 64c | 134.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Pistons | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pistons | 77c | 131.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Pistons | 45c | 131$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Pistons | 63c | 127.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Pistons | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Raptors | 58c | 120.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Raptors | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Raptors | 57c | 117.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Pistons | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Pistons | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Raptors | 45c | 110.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Raptors | 53c | 109.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Pistons | 45c | 108.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Raptors | 53c | 100.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Pistons | 42c | 100.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Raptors | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Pistons | 45c | 97.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Pistons | 45c | 88.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Raptors | 57c | 87.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pistons | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Raptors | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Pistons | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Pistons | 44c | 66.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked Raptors | 54c | 61.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Raptors | 56c | 60.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…354cbacked Pistons | 45c | 60.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Pistons | 52c | 54.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Pistons | 45c | 53.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Pistons | 43c | 51.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…8a1abacked Pistons | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Pistons | 45c | 48.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Pistons | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Pistons | 45c | 46.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…1df6backed Pistons | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Pistons | 44c | 42.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Raptors | 34c | 40.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Pistons | 45c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons | 44c | 38.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Pistons | 43c | 36.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Raptors | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 35c | 34.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…7a67backed Pistons | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…5562backed Pistons | 45c | 32.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…3fbbbacked Pistons | 45c | 31.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…4f7ebacked Raptors | 54c | 31.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 42c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Raptors | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.