NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6f41f8c74630fb0d43ccfe7b487907904339c6029793c818ebd5f568780f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 54c | 85,454$46,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,115.21 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 47c | 47,330$22,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,236.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Raptors | 51c | 20,392$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 45c | 14,799$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…8eeabacked Raptors | 51c | 11,543$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Raptors | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…3794backed Raptors | 51c | 9,481$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 9,171$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 8,676$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 51c | 6,174$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.59 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Raptors | 52c | 6,155$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.84 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Raptors | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons | 46c | 4,501$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.66 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.48 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Raptors | 54c | 2,174$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.91 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Pistons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,891$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Raptors | 50c | 1,738$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 48c | 1,538$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Pistons | 66c | 1,503$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 46c | 1,316$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 25c | 1,253$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Raptors | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,192$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,140$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Raptors | 54c | 1,086$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.44 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Pistons | 49c | 1,041$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.24 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Pistons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Raptors | 51c | 990$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Raptors | 49c | 684.77$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Raptors | 52c | 640$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 41c | 608.63$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 50c | 586.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Raptors | 51c | 533.33$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Pistons | 45c | 510.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 45c | 506.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 50c | 495.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.41 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Raptors | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Pistons | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 68c | 380.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pistons | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Raptors | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 46c | 271.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 48c | 267.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Raptors | 52c | 242.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Raptors | 54c | 220.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…cb3cbacked Pistons | 50c | 205.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…bd91backed Raptors | 51c | 205.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…59dabacked Raptors | 51c | 203.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…8a4ebacked Pistons | 50c | 203.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pistons | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Raptors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Raptors | 54c | 180.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raptors | 53c | 158.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Pistons | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 63c | 124.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 50c | 124.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pistons | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 79c | 119.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Pistons | 48c | 118.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Raptors | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Raptors | 54c | 109.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Raptors | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Raptors | 51c | 104.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Pistons | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pistons | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raptors | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Pistons | 48c | 97.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Pistons | 52c | 96.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Raptors | 52c | 96.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Raptors | 51c | 90.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Pistons | 48c | 89.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Raptors | 22c | 86.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Pistons | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Pistons | 47c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Raptors | 53c | 60.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Pistons | 51c | 57.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Raptors | 52c | 55.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Raptors | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Pistons | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pistons | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pistons | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Raptors | 52c | 49.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pistons | 47c | 47.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pistons | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pistons | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Pistons | 48c | 45.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Pistons | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Raptors | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Raptors | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Pistons | 48c | 42.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pistons | 48c | 42.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.