TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c7,645$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Over0c5,082$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91db…26bdbacked Under52c4,714$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Under51c3,715$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.3523047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9193…cc97backed Over6c2,230$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c2,220$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.9265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c2,128$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.350754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under53c2,106$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.8758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c1,938$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c1,881$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.692,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,797$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under53c1,757$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.619359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Over50c1,622$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.076841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9915650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under53c958.2$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over50c661.79$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c588$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under62c403.85$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0854853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c382$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.982,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c377.12$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c356.88$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14453951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c281.84$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c271.57$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c271.48$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c265.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over55c262$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7227747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c244$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.641,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over46c228.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5624138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under52c199.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over52c193.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over39c191.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c161$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under52c158$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4347349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over34c157.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8231144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under48c150.23$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under59c142.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.581,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under51c139$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1154351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under50c115.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc76…d308backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012464.5%80 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c101.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c99.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.975,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over48c85.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under48c80.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8818957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over43c71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.361,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over49c65.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8320949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Under51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.716654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under64c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.697150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c62.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d26…a6d5backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under49c60.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.171,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026824.6%66 W · 202 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over50c52.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3617243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db1…0627backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.543246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Over48c49.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5219750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Over44c48.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.54546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c48.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.163,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1740960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Over49c45.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.943839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over49c40.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c39.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.185,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa839…4d47backed Over48c37.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under52c33.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.272,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over67c32.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6345653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd030…ffd8backed Under49c30.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e6…cc2cbacked Over52c29.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4afc…7e90backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6baf…eba7backed Over52c28.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7cf…216cbacked Under49c27.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over49c21.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…ce5fbacked Under51c21.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6110838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…44f6backed Over49c20.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-59.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.