NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c3b593dd74d7532602c67010f81ccbd42f55136c08d494f12c9a63eee38a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51a8…8506backed Under | 48c | 7,327$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 4,998$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.2 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 48c | 2,695$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 55c | 2,527$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.79 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Over | 0c | 2,332$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 50c | 1,855$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.45 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…4f4ebacked Under | 48c | 1,717$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.05 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 825.91$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.47 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 44c | 512.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 509$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 478.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 10c | 477.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 396.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 241.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 221.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 156.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 132.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…61cfbacked Under | 48c | 124.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 117.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 49c | 117.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 105.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 53c | 94.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 53c | 69.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 51c | 54.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 53c | 43.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 38.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Under | 51c | 35.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Under | 48c | 30.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c6dabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…374fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 74c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-0.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.