TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,303 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0ef…39b6backed Over0c2,996$10 inLost-$103348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over45c1,545$695 inLost-$695.4734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,098$483 inLost-$483.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under56c892.86$500 inWon+$392.867365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over43c670.47$289 inLost-$289.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over44c636.36$280 inLost-$28066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under56c381.81$212 inWon+$169.8161747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under57c351.14$200 inWon+$151.1414254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c300.92$129 inLost-$129.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c211$93 inLost-$92.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon+$81.821947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon+$81.822231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over45c181.81$82 inLost-$81.8163447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over44c178$78 inLost-$78.321,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over58c100$58 inLost-$583852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon+$39.2990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c88.81$38 inWon+$50.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over57c88.81$51 inLost-$50.6221642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under57c78.95$45 inWon+$33.9525752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0114…3d19backed Over45c74.04$33 inLost-$33.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under53c71.04$38 inWon+$33.0449358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over47c62.26$29 inLost-$29.263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051a…b58cbacked Under57c49.12$28 inWon+$21.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under42c41.53$18 inWon+$24.015,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under61c36.13$22 inWon+$14.131,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.