TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,620,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,812,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,620,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 875 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed 76ers45c573,916$258,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315,434.1387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Suns53c277,564$146,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,854.811,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed 76ers43c150,000$64,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,499.999043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Suns55c129,737$71,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,355.142,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d19…f2f9backed 76ers51c75,500$38,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,9951050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5cebbacked Suns49c75,500$36,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,995944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Suns55c65,879$36,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,233.659350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Suns52c57,742$30,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,241.6651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Suns59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,499.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed 76ers45c40,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,00017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Suns59c39,321$23,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,137.569053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns57c38,895$22,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,324.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns55c34,336$18,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,884.81,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns53c28,452$15,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,079.3572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns0c28,306$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.255213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Suns57c27,435$15,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,637.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns56c26,068$14,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,656.262,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed 76ers44c25,030$11,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,016.7823245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Suns9c22,877$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.1193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers45c22,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,099.9959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns26c21,873$5,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,695.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns55c21,263$11,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,774.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns56c20,644$11,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,538.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Suns55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed 76ers45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,00037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns56c19,822$11,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,137.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers46c19,187$8,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,419.912,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed 76ers43c19,087$8,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,886.1930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed 76ers46c18,990$8,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,283.3853939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked 76ers44c18,725$8,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,510.255349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Suns5c18,520$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.011,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Suns55c18,182$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Suns54c17,328$9,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,356.966841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns51c17,219$8,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,734.074,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers76c16,734$12,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.551,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Suns0c16,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns56c16,043$9,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,060.371,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Suns56c16,022$8,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,972.320551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed 76ers41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,85028742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Suns60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Suns56c13,761$7,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,643.8314358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Suns55c13,111$7,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,210.9825753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Suns1c12,738$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked 76ers44c12,500$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,84054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336a…0e3ebacked 76ers49c11,926$5,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.671353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Suns4c11,670$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Suns55c10,914$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.715349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Suns7c10,602$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked 76ers46c10,464$4,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.8619560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Suns56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.984235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns15c10,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked 76ers43c9,725$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,540.5728649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers45c9,509$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,230.1951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns56c9,134$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.7710252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Suns18c8,700$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5239117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 76ers42c8,460$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.1345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Suns57c8,298$4,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.6271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers48c7,995$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.512,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed 76ers41c7,350$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.53351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked 76ers48c7,099$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.4814945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed 76ers43c6,999$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.8611737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Suns58c6,897$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 76ers43c6,883$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.7631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Suns8c6,847$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.341,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked 76ers45c6,322$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.729733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns9c6,233$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns1c6,224$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.241,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…50bcbacked Suns5c6,220$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-78.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Suns24c6,164$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Suns41c5,813$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Suns40c5,586$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2207150.7%36 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns54c5,464$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9561,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Suns55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns25c5,441$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked 76ers73c5,388$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.869250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Suns52c5,240$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.7312950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…1395backed Suns28c5,140$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.485054%27 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Suns28c5,122$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.0961939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns55c5,104$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked 76ers44c5,087$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.9115435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked 76ers41c5,065$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.347653.9%41 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers42c5,000$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.391,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed 76ers42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Suns55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Suns54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Suns52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9935547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9575…e916backed 76ers46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked 76ers75c4,903$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.0148956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1b…54f4backed Suns52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc939…2e44backed 76ers48c4,790$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…1e64backed 76ers48c4,780$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa612…4f0abacked Suns52c4,770$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e5…671bbacked Suns52c4,760$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0f…a841backed 76ers48c4,755$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 76ers58c4,590$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.1985344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked 76ers43c4,449$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.9813142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Suns14c4,416$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.1389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Suns51c4,300$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1939758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.