NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbdeae28a91ab56bd1e1a790f04419aed6bf37a5c14b75a9c28718fcd98c31e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Suns, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 49c | 39,800$19,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,308 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 52c | 28,620$14,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,754.65 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 51c | 28,282$14,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,858.12 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked 76ers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed 76ers | 52c | 9,507$4,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.19 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Suns | 51c | 8,519$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.93 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers | 46c | 8,401$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.81 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Suns | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 48c | 4,015$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 54c | 3,734$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.36 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked 76ers | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 52c | 3,359$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.87 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 51c | 3,273$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed 76ers | 51c | 3,000$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.16 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,891$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Suns | 49c | 2,596$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.27 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 49c | 2,235$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…844ebacked 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Suns | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 51c | 1,379$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.71 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 49c | 1,281$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked 76ers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Suns | 53c | 1,158$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.81 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Suns | 49c | 1,152$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.41 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 49c | 486.53$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed 76ers | 50c | 459$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked 76ers | 47c | 457$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked 76ers | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed 76ers | 47c | 374.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked 76ers | 48c | 340.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed 76ers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 279.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed 76ers | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 48c | 227.41$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 76ers | 48c | 218.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Suns | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed 76ers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Suns | 25c | 181.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 52c | 160.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed 76ers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 9c | 141.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed 76ers | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 60c | 105.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Suns | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Suns | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed 76ers | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Suns | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked 76ers | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 76ers | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Suns | 53c | 54.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed 76ers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 47c | 47.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Suns | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked 76ers | 52c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Suns | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked 76ers | 49c | 40.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…b929backed 76ers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed 76ers | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Suns | 54c | 32.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked 76ers | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Suns | 51c | 27.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed 76ers | 47c | 24.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 50c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed 76ers | 51c | 23.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Suns | 46c | 22.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Suns | 52c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked 76ers | 51c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Suns | 54c | 19.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Suns76ers won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.