NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc1eb7dd1ad1d3a8b23ad82c980be181d4e387039103922d9110f1cc1fc0c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 10,722$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 60c | 10,197$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.8 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 60c | 6,158$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.8 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 47c | 1,588$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.64 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 41c | 1,526$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 1,086$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 999$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 891$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 700$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 476$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Over | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 101.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 39c | 79.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 38c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 32.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 61c | 31.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 43c | 30.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 29.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5this page
- 76ers vs. Suns76ers won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.