NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44472048d8a28f85cff60b16e054b338f27d3f6ffce7bafa7130475c365feba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 59,519$30,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,891.04 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.72 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Over | 49c | 11,633$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 49c | 11,418$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.67 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 10,552$5,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 48c | 4,926$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.51 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 48c | 4,900$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 4,130$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 3,648$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 49c | 2,798$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 2,522$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 1,646$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 49c | 824.49$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7a41backed Under | 53c | 235.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 221.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 52c | 191.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 115.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 49c | 98.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…c436backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 49c | 55.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…d106backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…a0fdbacked Under | 53c | 50.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 49c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5this page
- 76ers vs. Suns76ers won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.