NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x557c9b55e96de8bd82d7f6e2aa388465f2ac663f1a092bb53ad00c312809ffb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 57c | 19,218$10,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,953.69 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 13,325$6,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 11,999$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,839.61 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…8998backed Under | 46c | 6,752$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…964fbacked Over | 54c | 6,147$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44a…b580backed Over | 53c | 4,340$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 57c | 4,270$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.88 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 3,388$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…6cdabacked Under | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 55c | 2,584$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.42 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…669ebacked Over | 54c | 2,478$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ceb2backed Under | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcafe…eed8backed Over | 54c | 2,322$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…a8ccbacked Under | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 2,153$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…6084backed Over | 54c | 1,952$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,867$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…4528backed Under | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…e80dbacked Under | 46c | 1,147$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 44c | 1,047$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.81 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 55c | 737.7$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.74 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 649.56$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Under | 43c | 644$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 631.65$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 43c | 382.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…f743backed Under | 47c | 339.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 49c | 338.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 56c | 114.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 43c | 111.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 59c | 41.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 32.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 43c | 29.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 61c | 29.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…3c5dbacked Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 56c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5this page
- 76ers vs. Suns76ers won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.