NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x366cc59902974666d9e3ed9909dc48329067bbe98fd6b23cbd0ea0df17dee343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Suns, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 53c | 15,918$8,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,464.83 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed 76ers | 47c | 12,454$5,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.46 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 47c | 5,898$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Suns | 50c | 1,561$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.45 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 53c | 958.44$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 52c | 808.57$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 47c | 581.91$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 51c | 540.24$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked 76ers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 55c | 404.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked 76ers | 48c | 309.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Suns | 48c | 248.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 51c | 216.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fc…9b7abacked Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…e751backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Suns | 54c | 199.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Suns | 33c | 194.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns | 54c | 192.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked 76ers | 43c | 149.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 50c | 146.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed 76ers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked 76ers | 48c | 134.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…d4a4backed Suns | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed 76ers | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…ff23backed 76ers | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked 76ers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…a397backed Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers | 55c | 91.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 50c | 91.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked 76ers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed 76ers | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Suns | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked 76ers | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers | 60c | 59.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 51c | 37.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Suns | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Suns | 49c | 35.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Suns | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed 76ers | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Suns | 53c | 32.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Suns | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Suns | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked 76ers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Suns | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Suns | 54c | 29.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Suns | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Suns | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Suns | 47c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Suns | 56c | 21.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Suns | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Suns | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Suns76ers won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 221.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.