TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,840
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,840 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c3d…b407backed Under49c25,600$12,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,056580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb42c…971cbacked Over51c25,300$12,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,903742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over54c14,184$7,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,726.49350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c9,219$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,987.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c9,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,59066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c5,200$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a49…6084backed Under49c5,168$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c3,448$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.9531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,130$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over39c2,890$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x822f…669ebacked Over51c2,365$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcafe…eed8backed Over51c2,321$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.71425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c2,108$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,999$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over51c1,627$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.8292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c1,196$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under45c1,155$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.251,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd148…8c0dbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc834…a341backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c978.26$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.262,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c924.02$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c701.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.063,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c670.41$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Over40c627.32$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over54c509$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.861,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27515643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.991,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd343…8998backed Over51c482$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6721045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c405.66$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.494,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under77c387.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.691457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c352.7$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3584342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under48c299.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.985858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c214.31$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c199.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over56c145$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over34c130$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over54c124.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over28c111.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3124330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c102.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.222,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c61…4fa6backed Under49c101.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.627057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Under77c98.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.74254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over56c96.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc706…4eeabacked Over50c91.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.59650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under55c87.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.139047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under38c78.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9455846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.571,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c54.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.122,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over55c49.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3538347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over51c45.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3720949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over44c42.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5659141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under62c40.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.481,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over39c35.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c26.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over55c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.371245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Under45c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc459…9e19backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over57c24.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ce…5dbabacked Over51c22.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…40a4backed Under50c22.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2215253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over53c21.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6519051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under70c20.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over51c20.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c20.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84e6…eb7fbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.