NBA · resolved market
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277a7364c4d2c69d1cbf073440f674efb215471e444b0f52e65a49c5d38e195c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,750,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,750,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf93c…fd6bbacked Yes | 0c | 766,502$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…ccbabacked Yes | 0c | 419,124$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…08c1backed Yes | 0c | 391,751$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 122,476$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…9ed8backed Yes | 0c | 106,358$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…d04dbacked Yes | 0c | 103,815$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ee…82d6backed Yes | 0c | 101,679$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Yes | 0c | 89,510$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…ec51backed Yes | 0c | 87,601$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 0c | 77,362$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 181 | 33.7%61 W · 120 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8161backed Yes | 0c | 72,544$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…38a4backed Yes | 0c | 71,704$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9461backed Yes | 0c | 67,634$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…dc9bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,605$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…0defbacked Yes | 0c | 65,051$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,880$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Yes | 0c | 61,864$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e655backed Yes | 0c | 61,692$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8505backed Yes | 0c | 61,514$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…c4f7backed Yes | 0c | 57,980$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…b4d1backed Yes | 0c | 36,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…cb61backed Yes | 0c | 35,530$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…6585backed Yes | 0c | 33,366$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…606cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,530$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…59d1backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…4beebacked Yes | 0c | 26,960$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efa…cf85backed Yes | 0c | 26,071$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…b217backed Yes | 0c | 24,310$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…3499backed Yes | 0c | 24,049$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…a8e4backed Yes | 0c | 24,010$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…ecd6backed Yes | 0c | 24,005$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f29…f2a4backed Yes | 0c | 20,830$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…d9aabacked Yes | 0c | 20,830$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…c6d8backed Yes | 0c | 20,830$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…717ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,750$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…8980backed Yes | 0c | 20,717$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…cc48backed Yes | 0c | 20,687$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5469…a3fcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,639$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…7565backed Yes | 0c | 20,528$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…01a8backed Yes | 0c | 20,528$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6d…c790backed Yes | 0c | 20,528$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…8a48backed Yes | 0c | 20,528$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…dd19backed Yes | 0c | 20,519$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…f4fbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,510$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…a29abacked Yes | 0c | 20,510$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…ea3cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,510$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ca…a105backed Yes | 0c | 20,510$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…cc86backed Yes | 0c | 20,509$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…ec2fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2169…11c2backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…39e0backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…6775backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…beeebacked Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…743bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…0231backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c3…7724backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…2504backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…9209backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…2f3dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…cde2backed Yes | 0c | 20,489$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…1f5fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…add5backed Yes | 0c | 20,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…d621backed Yes | 0c | 20,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…e935backed Yes | 0c | 20,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…b61abacked Yes | 0c | 20,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4e56backed Yes | 0c | 20,356$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…c334backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…2c98backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…0abcbacked Yes | 0c | 19,980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502a…7ee1backed Yes | 0c | 19,880$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc985…e7b5backed Yes | 0c | 19,618$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…f603backed Yes | 0c | 19,430$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…78abbacked Yes | 0c | 19,325$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…47e4backed Yes | 0c | 19,144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…ab8bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea1…2c7dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…4a20backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…9226backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a4…6bc8backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…d28bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…a2f1backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…fff2backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…f037backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce78…deeebacked Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…9c55backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…bb23backed Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…386bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…ec4ebacked Yes | 0c | 19,088$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…3e16backed Yes | 0c | 19,078$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 18,981$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…d3dcbacked Yes | 0c | 18,876$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…2247backed Yes | 0c | 18,594$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…305fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,570$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…65fabacked Yes | 0c | 18,557$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…11c7backed Yes | 0c | 18,408$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…e07cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…89c3backed Yes | 0c | 18,214$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…72eebacked Yes | 0c | 18,189$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa82…84fbbacked Yes | 0c | 18,168$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…1f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.