NBA · resolved market
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2fb4784ceb4d41ce23703da426700f710320ec5b711b6e3784bdaac24d94c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,006,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,620,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,006,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,058 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 337,868$5,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,870.8 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…61e1backed Yes | 52c | 323,764$167,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,100.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 7c | 143,818$9,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,847.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +141%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes | 11c | 109,103$11,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,942.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…5e32backed Yes | 4c | 103,601$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 93,279$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.93 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 74,787$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.88 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 12c | 72,618$8,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,577.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 11c | 71,482$7,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,934.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…7ad0backed Yes | 4c | 67,518$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 65,613$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.43 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 51,457$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.99 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 1c | 50,715$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 2c | 48,326$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 25c | 45,000$11,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,259.2 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…593bbacked Yes | 11c | 44,883$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 50c | 39,178$19,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,494.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…7610backed Yes | 2c | 36,190$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 34,728$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 1c | 33,147$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e44fbacked Yes | 3c | 31,746$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 29,016$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Yes | 1c | 27,413$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.47 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Yes | 19c | 25,972$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…5ec9backed Yes | 2c | 23,831$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 51c | 22,401$11,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,953.96 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…a570backed Yes | 1c | 20,561$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 19c | 19,501$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.3 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 19,473$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.87 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ea…0a00backed Yes | 0c | 18,727$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 7c | 18,042$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.81 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 12c | 18,036$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 2c | 17,926$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 15,226$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.82 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 19c | 14,916$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.36 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 16c | 14,301$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.5 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 3c | 13,994$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.67 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 13,766$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…0fa4backed Yes | 2c | 13,572$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…14dcbacked Yes | 1c | 13,487$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…b44cbacked Yes | 2c | 13,458$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Yes | 2c | 13,109$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed No | 50c | 12,976$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,466.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 21c | 12,729$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.46 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…7a4abacked Yes | 2c | 12,392$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,968$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 24c | 11,390$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.25 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 1c | 11,129$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked Yes | 4c | 11,050$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 1c | 10,500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,243$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…fa03backed Yes | 2c | 10,001$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…447bbacked Yes | 29c | 9,870$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 76c | 9,637$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…a2e7backed Yes | 2c | 9,349$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,965$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 8,913$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 8,641$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 26c | 8,562$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.51 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…3832backed Yes | 5c | 8,361$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.3 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 2c | 8,336$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.14 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 8,299$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Yes | 23c | 8,000$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 7,738$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.92 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 2c | 7,728$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 7,717$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…6afbbacked No | 60c | 7,600$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad30…6e8bbacked Yes | 40c | 7,600$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…03b8backed Yes | 1c | 7,208$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 7,022$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 6,906$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 6c | 6,703$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…e975backed Yes | 7c | 6,670$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…49e8backed Yes | 2c | 6,657$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…ba45backed Yes | 2c | 6,418$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…2674backed Yes | 13c | 6,266$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Yes | 2c | 6,236$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 6,191$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…44afbacked Yes | 2c | 6,167$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…3a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,947$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 9c | 5,782$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Yes | 2c | 5,709$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…3538backed Yes | 4c | 5,692$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa202…98d7backed Yes | 2c | 5,384$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 7c | 5,351$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 23c | 5,271$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.84 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…7cf5backed Yes | 2c | 5,126$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 58c | 5,081$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…b611backed Yes | 2c | 5,065$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…d823backed No | 77c | 5,006$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.17 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8f…c50cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,936$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,910$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…ffa8backed Yes | 1c | 4,770$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Yes | 21c | 4,710$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed Yes | 1c | 4,691$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 20c | 4,579$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.67 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.98 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,527$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.23 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.