NBA · resolved market
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e51ed86458e0a53ef3a2e882d2f857683dfe41822c2c26176c971e25a5a8db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,107,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,107,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94e5…3d5bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,752$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 49,439$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…0d03backed Yes | 0c | 35,593$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…bc0bbacked Yes | 0c | 34,127$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…20b8backed Yes | 0c | 32,091$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…2e31backed Yes | 0c | 28,050$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…ac96backed Yes | 0c | 27,820$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…4d92backed Yes | 0c | 27,007$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…3d32backed Yes | 0c | 26,326$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…50d2backed Yes | 0c | 26,306$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…cb61backed Yes | 0c | 25,650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…1f3bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…f3dcbacked Yes | 0c | 24,382$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…592ebacked Yes | 0c | 23,882$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…47eebacked Yes | 0c | 23,732$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…765bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,602$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…4d32backed Yes | 0c | 23,571$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…6011backed Yes | 0c | 23,534$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…829cbacked Yes | 0c | 23,502$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…84c8backed Yes | 0c | 23,502$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…2178backed Yes | 0c | 23,499$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a83…a529backed Yes | 0c | 23,352$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…aa82backed Yes | 0c | 23,351$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1a…44abbacked Yes | 0c | 23,351$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…98b9backed Yes | 0c | 23,278$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc511…89f7backed Yes | 0c | 23,232$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…2fc7backed Yes | 0c | 23,079$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…2c5abacked Yes | 0c | 22,976$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…eac3backed Yes | 0c | 22,862$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…8731backed Yes | 0c | 22,699$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…7f73backed Yes | 0c | 22,519$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ff…65a4backed Yes | 0c | 22,416$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…518fbacked Yes | 0c | 22,390$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…55f6backed Yes | 0c | 22,232$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…9042backed Yes | 0c | 21,754$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78a…2d03backed Yes | 0c | 21,653$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…1877backed Yes | 0c | 21,510$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,964$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2c…ee2dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…38a4backed Yes | 0c | 15,029$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…d8cabacked Yes | 0c | 14,178$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445d…a6d6backed Yes | 0c | 13,960$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…968cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,578$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…4dfebacked Yes | 0c | 13,275$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…cdf0backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…70f5backed Yes | 0c | 12,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…8980backed Yes | 0c | 12,950$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…be1fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019f…1f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,867$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…f6b5backed Yes | 0c | 12,850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…1367backed Yes | 0c | 12,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…cfbabacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc2…d26dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…a1e6backed Yes | 0c | 12,319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…725bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6e…3139backed Yes | 0c | 12,319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7874…15ebbacked Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…e4cbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5019backed Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…fbf3backed Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f1…3f26backed Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…0f5abacked Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…b94ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…d4bebacked Yes | 0c | 12,176$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…e1d7backed Yes | 0c | 12,010$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…cc48backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…99b7backed Yes | 0c | 11,856$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…eb71backed Yes | 0c | 11,805$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…d9bebacked Yes | 0c | 11,786$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d2…9bf5backed Yes | 0c | 11,785$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…844bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,737$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…5e9bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,731$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…7343backed Yes | 0c | 11,640$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…fc9dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,442$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…7e28backed Yes | 0c | 11,441$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…82d8backed Yes | 0c | 11,399$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…3514backed Yes | 0c | 11,372$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…55aabacked Yes | 0c | 11,339$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…d1dbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,328$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…4084backed Yes | 0c | 11,290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…9290backed Yes | 0c | 11,275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…5213backed Yes | 0c | 11,265$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…214dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,214$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…461abacked Yes | 0c | 11,214$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…a62dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,174$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…1f32backed Yes | 0c | 11,033$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…9041backed Yes | 0c | 11,012$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…24fcbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…5b75backed Yes | 0c | 10,933$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…9a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,916$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…d194backed Yes | 0c | 10,870$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…4bf7backed Yes | 0c | 10,717$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…447abacked Yes | 0c | 10,625$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…ffd2backed Yes | 0c | 10,617$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…30ebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,495$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…9805backed Yes | 0c | 10,419$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4d9fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,379$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…8bfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f3…4441backed Yes | 0c | 10,240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c853backed Yes | 0c | 10,239$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.