NBA · resolved market
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074bf4833158a5c77b80bdb914517263395b06a8d03fe8f1ffa8ce27f3dc7eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,221,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,221,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3d…d901backed Yes | 0c | 120,837$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 120,416$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…68bebacked Yes | 0c | 114,494$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…dff1backed Yes | 0c | 114,420$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c07…dc98backed Yes | 0c | 111,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…ca7fbacked Yes | 0c | 105,018$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed Yes | 0c | 91,262$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…eecebacked Yes | 0c | 91,262$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked Yes | 0c | 90,689$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked Yes | 0c | 89,859$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…4272backed Yes | 0c | 87,540$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…ae91backed Yes | 0c | 87,466$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…2354backed Yes | 0c | 87,229$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…a0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 87,128$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…de90backed Yes | 0c | 87,128$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 87,023$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…aa60backed Yes | 0c | 87,023$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…ebcbbacked Yes | 0c | 87,023$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…494abacked Yes | 0c | 86,402$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a7…490abacked Yes | 0c | 86,324$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…b721backed Yes | 0c | 86,292$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…4b4ebacked Yes | 0c | 86,291$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…bec1backed Yes | 0c | 86,288$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…365fbacked Yes | 0c | 86,267$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed Yes | 0c | 86,223$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…06eabacked Yes | 0c | 85,774$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked Yes | 0c | 85,738$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…b8c0backed Yes | 0c | 85,714$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked Yes | 0c | 85,714$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8909…6160backed Yes | 0c | 85,714$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1105backed Yes | 0c | 85,714$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…23acbacked Yes | 0c | 85,574$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc63…561abacked Yes | 0c | 85,488$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4a…86d4backed Yes | 0c | 85,335$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…376cbacked Yes | 0c | 85,244$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…e0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 85,218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…3d78backed Yes | 0c | 85,031$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…b1b3backed Yes | 0c | 84,898$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…0121backed Yes | 0c | 84,898$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7823…2c41backed Yes | 0c | 84,898$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1a…962fbacked Yes | 0c | 84,898$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e76…5844backed Yes | 0c | 84,895$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…ba36backed Yes | 0c | 84,895$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe772…598cbacked Yes | 0c | 84,895$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…0ce4backed Yes | 0c | 84,895$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…1e89backed Yes | 0c | 84,863$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…0ababacked Yes | 0c | 84,863$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…3acdbacked Yes | 0c | 84,863$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…3b58backed Yes | 0c | 84,755$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…1c54backed Yes | 0c | 84,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…b14ebacked Yes | 0c | 84,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…a6d9backed Yes | 0c | 84,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed Yes | 0c | 84,486$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…cd2ebacked Yes | 0c | 84,486$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…d675backed Yes | 0c | 84,286$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…bfd9backed Yes | 0c | 84,237$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…32e3backed Yes | 0c | 84,237$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448e…9e08backed Yes | 0c | 84,237$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…011cbacked Yes | 0c | 84,186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed Yes | 0c | 84,186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed Yes | 0c | 84,186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…2b6bbacked Yes | 0c | 84,153$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…8a1fbacked Yes | 0c | 84,086$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…8e68backed Yes | 0c | 84,064$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…afe6backed Yes | 0c | 84,064$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1848backed Yes | 0c | 84,064$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…b1a5backed Yes | 0c | 84,016$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…724bbacked Yes | 0c | 84,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 0c | 83,874$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f341backed Yes | 0c | 83,755$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…ffa6backed Yes | 0c | 83,680$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…38a4backed Yes | 0c | 83,672$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…9c9dbacked Yes | 0c | 83,667$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…5d00backed Yes | 0c | 83,667$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…80dabacked Yes | 0c | 83,360$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…347dbacked Yes | 0c | 83,360$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…e66fbacked Yes | 0c | 83,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…b9a8backed Yes | 0c | 82,901$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…2171backed Yes | 0c | 82,810$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…d9adbacked Yes | 0c | 82,647$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…317bbacked Yes | 0c | 78,676$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…0defbacked Yes | 0c | 78,186$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…b038backed Yes | 0c | 76,526$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…7f70backed Yes | 0c | 73,150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed Yes | 0c | 73,068$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…245dbacked Yes | 0c | 70,497$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…4dd5backed Yes | 0c | 70,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…fac1backed Yes | 0c | 69,600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…92ccbacked Yes | 0c | 69,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…b973backed Yes | 0c | 65,755$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…a256backed Yes | 0c | 63,860$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ad…efccbacked Yes | 0c | 63,860$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…1922backed Yes | 0c | 63,860$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…28eabacked Yes | 0c | 63,860$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd3…6f48backed Yes | 0c | 63,833$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…f3dcbacked Yes | 0c | 63,833$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…9ca4backed Yes | 0c | 63,833$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…1fc9backed Yes | 0c | 63,833$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…cca3backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…8fddbacked Yes | 0c | 59,997$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?this page
- Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes won
- Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.