TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e68…a6d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.02
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.74
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.44
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.22
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.31
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.35
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.68
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.82
Pistons vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.44
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6.78
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.54
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$29.11
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.94
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Blackhawks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$20.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. UTEP Minersbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$12.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Chloe Paquetbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.