Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Chloe Paquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e594a68e007f7e03ec967a303e7a9574e31be0f053ca2ec4604ebf9f5c5be9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blinkovaof Blinkova, Paquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Paquet | 19c | 976.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paquet | 30c | 717.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.44 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Paquet | 5c | 605.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Paquet | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blinkova | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Blinkova | 67c | 172.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Paquet | 18c | 129.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Paquet | 10c | 127.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Blinkova | 70c | 120.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…5360backed Paquet | 33c | 100.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…e268backed Blinkova | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…9d66backed Blinkova | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Blinkova | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Paquet | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Blinkova | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Paquet | 28c | 70.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Blinkova | 75c | 69.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Blinkova | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Paquet | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…745bbacked Paquet | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Blinkova | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…a6d9backed Blinkova | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…79efbacked Blinkova | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…b98abacked Blinkova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Blinkova | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Blinkova | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9ebabacked Blinkova | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfb…3404backed Blinkova | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Blinkova | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.