NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6e92dadadedf14750763507f107b6b633b653c29c4c64f392a1428b8cfe131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Grizzlies, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,767,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,870,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,767,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 38c | 227,301$86,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,366.69 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 62c | 146,801$91,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,058.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 97,410$10,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,554.83 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 63c | 40,951$25,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,143.95 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 62c | 40,891$25,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,737.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Lakers | 61c | 34,083$20,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,292.37 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Lakers | 79c | 32,642$25,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.95 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Lakers | 62c | 27,115$16,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,197.84 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Lakers | 62c | 26,144$16,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,854.93 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Grizzlies | 40c | 25,552$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150.49 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 64c | 24,655$15,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.72 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 69c | 18,491$12,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.95 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 32c | 18,394$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 7c | 17,840$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.86 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 28c | 16,783$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.35 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Grizzlies | 31c | 15,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Grizzlies | 28c | 12,462$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.76 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 63c | 11,037$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.53 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…a84abacked Lakers | 73c | 11,032$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Grizzlies | 39c | 11,019$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.22 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 76c | 10,764$8,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies | 33c | 10,605$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Grizzlies | 37c | 9,451$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…72bcbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 9,380$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 62c | 8,993$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.19 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Grizzlies | 36c | 8,888$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.68 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Grizzlies | 37c | 8,767$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.29 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Lakers | 60c | 8,344$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.5 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Lakers | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.72 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 8,008$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.81 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Lakers | 66c | 7,066$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 62c | 7,056$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Lakers | 73c | 7,038$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.46 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Grizzlies | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Grizzlies | 39c | 6,910$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lakers | 76c | 6,496$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.94 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 35c | 6,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 5,835$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.01 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Lakers | 53c | 5,800$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 28c | 5,746$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…ad86backed Lakers | 64c | 5,643$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…536cbacked Lakers | 61c | 5,504$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 39c | 5,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…f8bcbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 5,488$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Lakers | 59c | 5,472$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.68 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 5,200$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 5,172$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.82 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 79c | 5,000$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.35 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…337bbacked Lakers | 61c | 4,648$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Grizzlies | 30c | 4,593$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.93 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Grizzlies | 30c | 4,524$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Grizzlies | 22c | 4,521$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Grizzlies | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,391$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Lakers | 74c | 4,132$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.71 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Grizzlies | 33c | 4,047$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.47 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 18c | 4,017$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.04 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies | 20c | 4,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 3,997$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.56 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Grizzlies | 25c | 3,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 3,900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies | 25c | 3,879$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.53 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…ccedbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 3,793$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,621$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 70c | 3,475$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…9f26backed Lakers | 60c | 3,450$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 69c | 3,440$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 3,281$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.74 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Grizzlies | 27c | 3,254$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.49 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Grizzlies | 41c | 3,223$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.47 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 3,222$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Grizzlies | 25c | 3,049$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Grizzlies | 39c | 3,012$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.85 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Grizzlies | 34c | 3,003$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Grizzlies | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Lakers | 79c | 2,967$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,955$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.13 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Lakers | 65c | 2,888$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.8 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Lakers | 74c | 2,800$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,742$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…15e1backed Lakers | 61c | 2,680$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…1992backed Grizzlies | 35c | 2,624$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.81 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 38c | 2,583$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.65 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 2,512$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.31 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,500$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 19c | 2,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Lakers | 61c | 2,497$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.58 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 2,468$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.06 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Lakers | 61c | 2,454$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…0797backed Grizzlies | 34c | 2,416$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 2,370$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.6 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 2,310$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.45 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 2,282$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Lakers | 60c | 2,274$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Grizzlies | 40c | 2,266$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.54 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,162$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.28 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Lakers | 77c | 2,100$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.24 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.