NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ce1d7e46bca24ed36c8739b835c20a3a133a380247465808f326866233c1e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 7,330$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.39 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,502$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 53c | 5,475$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.78 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 3,101$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 2,688$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.59 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 52c | 2,107$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.4 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 49c | 1,973$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.27 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,565$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 54c | 1,136$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.94 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 44c | 1,119$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.41 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,102$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked Over | 69c | 1,071$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 674.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 368$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 25c | 349.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…9c7fbacked Under | 48c | 316.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 304$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 295$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 279.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 77c | 240.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…91d3backed Over | 59c | 168.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 157.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 153.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Under | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 25c | 145.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 121.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Under | 17c | 106.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…f8dcbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…b5f6backed Under | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 47c | 85.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Under | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 43c | 73.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 26c | 66.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 44c | 58.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 55.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…9982backed Under | 29c | 54.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Under | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 50c | 50.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…629fbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 50c | 25.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 53c | 22.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked Over | 75c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 68c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Grizzlies vs. LakersLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.