NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1474a0c68b7690932f728f02bcc26e4e401afae53b2616c8d03c371f2e90bb09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,059,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,061,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,059,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 624,328$306,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306,627.28 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 51c | 620,096$316,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303,847.24 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8679backed Grizzlies | 49c | 229,714$113,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,677.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 51c | 99,128$50,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,572.62 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Lakers | 50c | 65,445$32,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,722.44 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 48c | 38,545$18,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,096.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 53c | 34,392$18,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,215.49 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…c158backed Grizzlies | 53c | 19,981$10,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 17,691$8,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 51c | 14,229$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 49c | 12,956$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lakers | 49c | 12,520$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.82 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lakers | 52c | 10,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 8,888$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.36 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 50c | 8,631$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 52c | 8,473$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.04 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 7,170$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 6,491$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 50c | 4,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.56 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,786$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 50c | 3,640$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 51c | 2,260$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Lakers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…ef29backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 55c | 1,928$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,566$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.42 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.76 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,378$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.42 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,196$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,044$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Grizzlies | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Grizzlies | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 866.65$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 833$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.83 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…6074backed Grizzlies | 63c | 788.65$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 742$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 718.96$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.76 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Lakers | 47c | 709.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…4332backed Grizzlies | 53c | 660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lakers | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 633.39$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.05 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 37c | 611$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.26 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Grizzlies | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Grizzlies | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cb…079cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 49c | 591.95$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.55 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Lakers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Lakers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 462.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 46c | 458.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Lakers | 52c | 423.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 52c | 399.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Grizzlies | 26c | 325.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Lakers | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Grizzlies | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 35c | 297.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Lakers | 51c | 293.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Grizzlies | 48c | 271.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Grizzlies | 52c | 268.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Grizzlies | 54c | 268.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Grizzlies | 30c | 266.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 65c | 241.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 49c | 231.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Lakers | 61c | 229.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Grizzlies | 47c | 215.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Grizzlies | 50c | 208.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 208.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Lakers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…c34dbacked Lakers | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Lakers | 56c | 197.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Lakers | 48c | 195$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Grizzlies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…68b6backed Grizzlies | 74c | 175.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 167.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Grizzlies vs. LakersLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.