Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1a4f2b75bbd40d289b1f9a72e1ff2b8499347e96ddcbafbf2f9cd241cb1dda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe46d…2db4backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 12,949$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,629.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 9,429$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.77 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 9,260$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.29 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,865$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.41 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 5,186$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.66 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 3,896$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.9 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,812$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.95 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 3,468$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 3,314$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.55 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,256$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,973$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,687$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.89 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,591$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,560$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,421$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.5 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,359$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.07 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,328$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.39 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,050$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.08 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,978$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,928$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.69 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,907$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.83 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,775$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.74 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,726$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,724$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,712$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,526$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.44 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9525…e50abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…46e6backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,300$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,247$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…6aedbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 1,184$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.35 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,150$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.86 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,093$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.14 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,002$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.22 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 968.63$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 900.25$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 741.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 732.37$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 673.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.18 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 621.15$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.84 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 585.11$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.94 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…8aa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 543.87$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 515.82$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 510$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 506.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 471.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 459.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 450.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…8cc6backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 415.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 396.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf432…26acbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 393.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…78dcbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 384.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 382.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 374.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 369.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 367$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 345.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 293.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 281.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 280.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 273.43$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4a04backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 271.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 260.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 256.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 253.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 237.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 233.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 228.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 226.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 212.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 212.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…a264backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…e82dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 207.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 206.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 205.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 202.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 202.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…4923backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.