Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37297ec2ec2f77707f999de7db7ae58dd4c7ddd1a0222eae605da9c8d7f87283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 63,239$24,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,501.96 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 37c | 46,206$16,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,872.38 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 63c | 39,683$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,682.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 63c | 33,298$20,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,309.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 37c | 30,809$11,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 24,600$9,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,948.47 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 39c | 20,777$8,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,011.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 61c | 20,527$12,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,005.53 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 36c | 20,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 17,613$6,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,893.35 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…6471backed Yes | 64c | 15,799$10,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 56c | 15,263$8,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.45 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 15,214$9,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,482.52 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 13,507$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.51 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 63c | 9,489$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 36c | 8,835$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.84 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 36c | 8,632$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.74 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 37c | 8,375$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 39c | 7,649$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 61c | 7,571$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…8cc8backed Yes | 62c | 7,037$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Yes | 62c | 6,720$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 6,120$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.5 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 39c | 5,700$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 64c | 5,571$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 45c | 5,134$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.1 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.95 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 39c | 4,828$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 59c | 4,723$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.18 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 64c | 4,216$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 61c | 3,636$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 37c | 3,401$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.49 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 64c | 3,136$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 60c | 3,050$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 63c | 3,008$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…a60abacked Yes | 59c | 2,744$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 61c | 2,510$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 51c | 2,057$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.34 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 2,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 2,000$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…9b67backed Yes | 61c | 1,967$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 55c | 1,967$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 64c | 1,889$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 61c | 1,824$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 1,732$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 62c | 1,731$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.81 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df7…fe40backed No | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,620$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.01 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…9483backed No | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…69e4backed Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed Yes | 65c | 1,539$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 36c | 1,499$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 50c | 1,389$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 61c | 1,241$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 1,114$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.35 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked Yes | 63c | 1,105$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 38c | 1,026$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93db…1773backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…e87dbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 63c | 968.76$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 38c | 950.33$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.62 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 925$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 56c | 884.97$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked No | 38c | 869.33$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 41c | 824.09$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…09b8backed Yes | 63c | 800$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…6578backed No | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 62c | 795.5$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 790$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes | 64c | 783.14$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…95dbbacked Yes | 64c | 715.14$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 60c | 675$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…6412backed Yes | 62c | 669.35$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 39c | 649.69$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 627.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 596.27$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 64c | 593.75$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 55c | 563.64$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…e624backed Yes | 54c | 555.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.