Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091abe4ede5894f020ee19675a5a1c3c693c4be58c536c7753dac9b0463b4a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 26c | 11,004$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked No | 77c | 4,012$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 2,202$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.5 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 2,089$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.6 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…fbd6backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…3e14backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 75c | 1,739$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed No | 75c | 1,432$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Yes | 25c | 1,430$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 77c | 1,173$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.79 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,149$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 52c | 1,011$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 75c | 878$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 604.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.51 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ed…0cedbacked No | 76c | 550$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…5025backed Yes | 25c | 547.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 63c | 413.78$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 25c | 352$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 283.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07a…2bb0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Yes | 15c | 266.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 25c | 237.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 224.68$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 71c | 153.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 52c | 146.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…2ae0backed Yes | 25c | 118.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…c750backed Yes | 26c | 114.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 103.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 101.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…0146backed Yes | 29c | 89.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 86.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Yes | 50c | 75.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 76c | 69.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 24c | 67.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed No | 63c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 76c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…06c0backed No | 77c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…ce28backed No | 77c | 14.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…aefabacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?this page
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-28?No won
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.