Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce14a542f76071d8d65130886be15c68fd7348887dbbe8bbbd3d7631917119d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 13c | 15,217$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.19 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 14c | 10,714$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 10c | 6,191$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,361$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 9c | 3,386$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 13c | 3,295$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.3 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,166$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.61 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 3,008$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.08 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,285$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…4702backed Yes | 14c | 2,200$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 9c | 1,894$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,808$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,689$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.95 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…6c41backed Yes | 14c | 1,550$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,514$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,511$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…a4debacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Yes | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,339$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,145$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 14c | 1,030$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.46 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 999.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 16c | 875$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…ffb1backed Yes | 14c | 785.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…7e8bbacked Yes | 13c | 761.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Yes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a470backed Yes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 14c | 683.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 11c | 599.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…f949backed Yes | 13c | 573$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 13c | 375$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 355.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…04f1backed Yes | 14c | 321.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 29c | 276.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 10c | 235$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 13c | 188.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…686ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…e501backed Yes | 14c | 179.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…77aebacked Yes | 14c | 159.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…2ae0backed Yes | 14c | 118.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…4d48backed Yes | 12c | 104.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 12c | 94.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.