TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Washington State vs. Utah State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Stateof Washington State, Utah State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,188,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,408,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,188,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Utah State13c913,381$114,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,609.113164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Utah State55c402,130$220,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220,669.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Washington State49c390,634$191,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,089.534163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Washington State50c272,837$137,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,261.762759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Utah State19c218,077$40,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,489.9319362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Washington State47c134,844$63,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,719.0221055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah State50c111,767$56,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,091.1893548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Utah State51c98,004$49,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,982862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Washington State50c83,820$41,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,946.261080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Washington State45c80,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,00010448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Utah State50c36,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00015352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Utah State49c35,000$17,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,149.9927246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State50c27,942$13,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,928.462,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Utah State31c26,889$8,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,232.133250%16 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Washington State73c26,092$18,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,120.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cec…1a24backed Utah State36c21,650$7,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,76010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Washington State49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.992528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Washington State48c18,128$8,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.6611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Washington State51c17,500$8,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Utah State52c15,466$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.5452449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Washington State68c13,652$9,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,38286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Utah State53c12,568$6,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6612842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah State50c12,100$6,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,081.1152641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Washington State54c11,971$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.263243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Utah State30c10,726$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.3413933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Washington State50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Utah State49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9005064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah State37c9,788$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.4362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Utah State22c9,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9503030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State49c8,906$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.2948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Utah State46c8,133$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington State78c7,990$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.9540244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Washington State49c7,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.153151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Utah State52c6,819$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Utah State2c6,683$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.576540%26 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Utah State49c4,794$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Washington State74c4,642$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240c…bd0dbacked Utah State53c4,054$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Utah State50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Washington State47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1206947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Utah State50c3,714$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.238749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Utah State49c3,657$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.2325629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Washington State70c3,329$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Utah State31c3,290$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.72536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah State31c3,253$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.340541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State36c3,200$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.1219842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Utah State51c3,100$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.992060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Utah State23c3,097$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.69124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington State69c3,052$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.5858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3fc…6760backed Washington State50c2,869$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f4…1565backed Utah State50c2,861$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Utah State53c2,826$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4982142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah State49c2,663$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.8530949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Utah State50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2509051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Washington State48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.982152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Utah State52c2,259$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Utah State51c2,133$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.7611851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2852…f079backed Utah State52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c5…07a9backed Washington State48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Washington State50c2,018$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.147642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Washington State47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Washington State49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb973…ff16backed Washington State50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…11cdbacked Utah State51c1,569$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Washington State50c1,474$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.938450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Washington State65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.334151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Utah State11c1,382$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.272218.2%4 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-64.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Washington State70c1,350$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b13…8ae3backed Utah State52c1,283$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…2257backed Utah State50c1,207$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Utah State49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Washington State50c1,195$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.5213845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Washington State47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Washington State47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5304151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Washington State50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005149%25 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb4…7ec0backed Utah State51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x403b…3043backed Washington State49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9363…fbfabacked Washington State69c999.11$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.724555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Utah State40c994.35$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0238…208ebacked Utah State50c984$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Washington State50c980$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681f…e1f3backed Washington State50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540a…0908backed Washington State52c967.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa654…ec03backed Utah State50c966$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Utah State52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Utah State9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State50c804.51$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Utah State51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4083844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Washington State68c782.79$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5726940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Washington State50c777$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.53759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Utah State50c772.5$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3965945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Utah State32c749.63$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.44250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Utah State51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3575246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah State8c670$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9564841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Utah State12c623.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.163240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Washington State49c614.29$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+78.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State38c605.84$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Washington State50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Washington State51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29411142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Washington State50c599.87$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9242244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.