College Football · resolved market
Spread: Utah State (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c8cfc9bec7095ac6890f97399e83fc19eda10332a0cdf9ed7f6f8f7cc6ff468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof Utah State, Washington State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah State | 46c | 5,242$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington State | 53c | 3,045$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.34 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Washington State | 54c | 778$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Washington State | 54c | 577.11$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Washington State | 54c | 242$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Washington State | 53c | 229$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Washington State | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Washington State | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Washington State | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Washington State | 55c | 161$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Washington State | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington State | 52c | 147.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Washington State | 53c | 147$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Washington State | 53c | 131$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington State | 54c | 115.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Washington State | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Washington State | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Utah State | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Washington State | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Utah State | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Washington State | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Washington State | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Utah State | 48c | 74.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Utah State | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Washington State | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Washington State | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Utah State | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Washington State | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Utah State | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Washington State | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Washington State | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Utah State | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Utah State | 48c | 44.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Utah State | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Utah State | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Utah State | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Utah State | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Utah State | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Washington State | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Utah State | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Utah State | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Utah State | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Utah State | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Utah State | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Utah State | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Utah State | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Utah State | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Utah State | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Utah State | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Utah State | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Utah State | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Utah State | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…a988backed Utah State | 48c | 27.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Utah State | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Utah State | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Utah State | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Utah State | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Utah State | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Utah State | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Washington State | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington State | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Utah State | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Washington State | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Utah State | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Utah State | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Washington State | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State (-2.5)this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-3.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-0.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah StateWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H MoneylineWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.