College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488febb99540eb42e1a0726bb7b2fd54b103e2240d2da7c4f9beea4693ba9c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 256.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 54c | 138$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 54c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 54c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 54c | 119$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 87.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 54c | 83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 54c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 54c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-2.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-3.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-0.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah StateWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H MoneylineWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.