College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7a3bcd2174da6154afb3ec30524af9dbee1829be6ec8d48c38ba2f4c1948df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 16,415$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.24 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 52c | 7,887$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 6,738$3,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.72 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 52c | 3,141$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,969$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.98 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 2,764$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Over | 50c | 2,620$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 2,433$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.74 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 48c | 799.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Under | 51c | 794.23$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 591.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.47 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 442$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 51c | 374.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 25c | 248.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 51c | 218$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 200.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 7c | 163$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 8cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Under | 51c | 147.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…c5a5backed Under | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 20c | 100.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 70.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…cd53backed Under | 51c | 60.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…50c5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Over | 50c | 39.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…13b7backed Under | 50c | 38.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a162backed Over | 51c | 35.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-2.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-3.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-0.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah StateWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H MoneylineWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.