College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196f23e1234d5a569380fb0a469fda8dcd0c012ddb4a83a62812da4885acc66d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof Washington State, Utah State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Utah State | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Utah State | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Utah State | 51c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Utah State | 49c | 131$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Utah State | 48c | 123$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Utah State | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Utah State | 49c | 86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Utah State | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Utah State | 48c | 81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Washington State | 51c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Washington State | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Washington State | 50c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Utah State | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State | 47c | 54.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Utah State | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Washington State | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Utah State | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Washington State | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Washington State | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Washington State | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Utah State | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Washington State | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Utah State | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Washington State | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Washington State | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington State | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Washington State | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Washington State | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Washington State | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Washington State | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Washington State | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Washington State | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Washington State | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Washington State | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Washington State | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Washington State | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Washington State | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Washington State | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Washington State | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Washington State | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Washington State | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H Moneylinethis page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-2.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-3.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-0.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah StateWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.