College Football · resolved market
Spread: Utah State (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b19cb6a27c01916ebeea9d84837ea26a4e652079ecfffcc4d7fab0adfb994b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof Utah State, Washington State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah State | 48c | 5,642$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.19 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington State | 51c | 3,048$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.69 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Washington State | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Washington State | 52c | 594.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.13 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington State | 52c | 505.08$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington State | 50c | 499.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Utah State | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Washington State | 53c | 239$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington State | 48c | 200.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Washington State | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington State | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Utah State | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Utah State | 52c | 139.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Washington State | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Washington State | 53c | 122$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Washington State | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Washington State | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Washington State | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Washington State | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Washington State | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington State | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Washington State | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Washington State | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Washington State | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Washington State | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Washington State | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Utah State | 52c | 65.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Washington State | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Washington State | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Washington State | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Washington State | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Washington State | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Utah State | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Utah State | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Washington State | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Utah State | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington State | 52c | 50.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Utah State | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Utah State | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Washington State | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Utah State | 48c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Washington State | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Utah State | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Utah State | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Washington State | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Utah State | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Utah State | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Utah State | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Washington State | 50c | 40.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Utah State | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Utah State | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Utah State | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Utah State | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Utah State | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Utah State | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Utah State | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Utah State | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Utah State | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Utah State | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Washington State | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Utah State | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Utah State | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Utah State | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Utah State | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Utah State | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Utah State | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Utah State | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Utah State | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Utah State | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Utah State | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…a988backed Utah State | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Utah State | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Utah State | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Utah State | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Utah State | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Utah State | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Utah State | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Utah State | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Utah State | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-2.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-3.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-0.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah StateWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H MoneylineWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.