College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b2ab3b57ae4f8419a50d7e33b8661ae903add9c2eb94bd4bc483d885a419e5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 57c | 374$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 57c | 138$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 57c | 128$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 57c | 126$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 96.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 57c | 82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 57c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 43c | 74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Over | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 57c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Under | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 31.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Under | 59c | 27.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 51.5this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Utah State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-2.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Utah State (-3.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-0.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-1.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah StateWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: 1H MoneylineWashington State won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 49.5Over won
- Washington State vs. Utah State: O/U 50.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.