TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Lakers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,465,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,604,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,465,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Lakers27c291,469$79,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,727.2412147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Spurs72c164,324$118,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,504.128961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Spurs73c85,550$62,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,454.1222453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs75c80,393$60,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,719.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers29c75,000$21,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,649.9651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers27c74,074$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.981,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs74c74,066$54,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,557.861,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Spurs73c62,328$45,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,828.5636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs72c50,000$35,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,142.7959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers20c47,712$9,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,729.791,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs72c42,600$30,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,013.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs73c35,662$25,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,715.361,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Spurs72c35,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Lakers28c34,998$9,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.4414243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spurs73c34,588$25,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,338.6916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs73c29,600$21,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,99229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Spurs67c28,438$19,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,325.3327247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs71c26,704$18,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,712.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers14c24,230$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.621,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Spurs68c24,000$16,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,685.3616752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Spurs76c23,487$17,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.9559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs73c22,800$16,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1561,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Lakers31c21,889$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.821538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Spurs71c21,687$15,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,289.156358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs76c20,921$15,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,945.323,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Spurs71c20,015$14,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804.3519150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Lakers29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Lakers29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Spurs70c20,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.9247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Lakers27c19,946$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4408230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a1…61d2backed Lakers26c19,435$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Spurs79c19,062$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.817062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs70c18,198$12,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,446.383,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac7…e0efbacked Spurs73c17,039$12,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers30c16,380$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers17c16,184$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs76c15,521$11,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs73c15,221$11,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Spurs71c14,900$10,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.955259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lakers32c14,755$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.61,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Lakers31c14,645$4,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,516.946454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers28c14,286$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers29c13,876$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.782,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers5c12,934$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.331,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Lakers27c12,873$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48313339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers21c12,594$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.112,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Lakers29c12,560$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.3628439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Spurs71c11,154$7,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.679263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers32c10,753$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.0596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers27c10,736$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.616335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Spurs73c10,633$7,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.883151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lakers25c10,435$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.6561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers0c10,294$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.948820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Lakers7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Lakers27c9,993$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.2112657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Spurs71c9,802$6,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.630157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Lakers27c9,744$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Spurs71c9,592$6,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.5528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Spurs77c9,420$7,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.9616657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…964abacked Spurs79c8,814$6,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.6210059%59 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Spurs73c8,643$6,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.7925546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Spurs71c8,375$5,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.757468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Lakers32c8,356$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.8414344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Spurs73c8,330$6,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.996451.6%33 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1656…6c04backed Lakers25c8,111$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa28f…d25ebacked Lakers12c7,730$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.11910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Lakers17c7,658$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.365129.4%15 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Lakers27c7,530$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs72c7,205$5,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers31c7,150$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2161,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Lakers26c7,010$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.8721143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Lakers29c6,897$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Spurs70c6,839$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.9713063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Lakers28c6,796$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.857240.3%29 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Lakers30c6,700$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.512143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Lakers30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs78c6,623$5,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Lakers20c6,500$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.4647535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Lakers16c6,362$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.452638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Lakers28c6,036$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6908846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Lakers30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers26c6,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Spurs73c5,998$4,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.424654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs71c5,464$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.12,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs71c5,442$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Spurs69c5,439$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.139552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Spurs71c5,430$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.4548944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Spurs68c5,229$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.0719560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e86…29abbacked Lakers28c5,148$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4591717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Lakers32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…254bbacked Spurs71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Lakers28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.982770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Spurs70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.983565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Spurs67c4,973$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.0914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Lakers30c4,720$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Lakers27c4,645$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.615324.5%13 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31c7…867bbacked Lakers14c4,585$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Lakers16c4,490$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.1214533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a6…3d19backed Spurs68c4,382$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.