NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1b3eee57d394e448def2b4162f2933b8cacfa4cd759ebedd221865cca6dd4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Spurs | 58c | 9,794$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.45 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 42c | 7,050$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 42c | 5,555$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 58c | 4,098$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Lakers | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 28c | 1,542$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Spurs | 58c | 1,391$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.38 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 54c | 1,242$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 46c | 1,179$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 42c | 766.66$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 57c | 724.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 58c | 654.25$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.79 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 58c | 625$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Lakers | 42c | 625$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 58c | 527.48$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Spurs | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Lakers | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Spurs | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Lakers | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…57e1backed Lakers | 42c | 176.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Spurs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Lakers | 27c | 165.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…4b88backed Spurs | 59c | 164.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…f2b0backed Lakers | 42c | 159.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 58c | 159$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Lakers | 43c | 143.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Lakers | 41c | 119.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lakers | 42c | 111.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs | 58c | 103.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…00c8backed Lakers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Spurs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Lakers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Lakers | 45c | 99.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Spurs | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Spurs | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Spurs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs | 59c | 83.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Spurs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Spurs | 59c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Spurs | 62c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Lakers | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Lakers | 41c | 56.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Spurs | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Spurs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Spurs | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Lakers | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 72c | 44.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…1b16backed Lakers | 42c | 42.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Spurs | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Lakers | 45c | 41.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Spurs | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lakers | 39c | 36.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…eb5abacked Spurs | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Lakers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…857cbacked Lakers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs | 49c | 33.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Spurs | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Spurs | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Lakers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Lakers | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Lakers | 41c | 26.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Lakers | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330e…c22abacked Lakers | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…947cbacked Spurs | 62c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Spurs | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Lakers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.