Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344d9dd7c005f155ac0d0a1ae869cec1533270edf0dcb1ffc295ea3473d8174c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe29e…a781backed Heroic | 46c | 23,787$10,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,942.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdf…edb6backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 23,585$12,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,848 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…7c60backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 23,481$12,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,801.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…4aeabacked Heroic | 46c | 23,282$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,709.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Heroic | 44c | 19,463$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,469.25 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Heroic | 40c | 6,188$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.19 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Heroic | 2c | 6,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Heroic | 49c | 5,801$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Heroic | 25c | 5,000$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 4,987$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.62 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Heroic | 10c | 4,979$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,965$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.79 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Heroic | 62c | 4,100$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.74 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 44c | 2,900$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,700$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heroic | 9c | 2,657$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic | 10c | 2,300$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,286$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.71 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Heroic | 46c | 2,156$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Heroic | 10c | 2,099$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,942$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.82 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,697$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.48 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,637$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.02 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Heroic | 3c | 1,548$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Heroic | 69c | 1,531$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.85 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 1,522$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.4 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Heroic | 27c | 1,485$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,258$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.62 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 50c | 1,258$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.99 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,223$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.44 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Heroic | 50c | 1,213$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.68 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Heroic | 56c | 1,188$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Heroic | 45c | 1,186$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.79 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 1,033$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.41 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Heroic | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 957.29$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 950.94$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.37 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 946.77$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.29 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 934.37$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Heroic | 10c | 899.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…5b85backed Heroic | 10c | 859.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 29c | 804.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 742.8$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Heroic | 54c | 664.15$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Heroic | 60c | 649.78$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 639.41$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.41 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 55c | 604$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbb1backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 567.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 41c | 532.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 500$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 500$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Heroic | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Heroic | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 5c | 490.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 40c | 488.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Heroic | 8c | 460.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 439.56$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 420$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 404.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Heroic | 63c | 379$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 374.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic | 27c | 370.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 360.52$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 346.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 318.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Heroic | 42c | 316.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.83 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 310.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 62c | 282.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 271.15$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Heroic | 13c | 269.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 264.24$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 42c | 245.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 241.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 220.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…278fbacked Heroic | 47c | 211.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Heroic | 24c | 207.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…96f1backed Heroic | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…4966backed Heroic | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…a485backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Heroic | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 193.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Heroic | 49c | 192.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Heroic | 35c | 185.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8449backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 175.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 160.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Heroic | 48c | 156.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 155$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.