Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe345024c97ea62ddc6a709d10fe9333ac2119d63e333aa0071a925deb0d11834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 60,000$23,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,100 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 58c | 46,839$27,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,457.95 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 12,950$9,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 46c | 7,691$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.34 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 54c | 7,227$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 23c | 3,284$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 77c | 2,529$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.47 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 23c | 682.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 432.54$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 77c | 289.48$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 182.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…69b5backed Yes | 76c | 174.68$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 54c | 117$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 43c | 116.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 109.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Yes | 55c | 91.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 45c | 48.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…a6d9backed Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…24ebbacked Yes | 55c | 32.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…bcffbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.