TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd97d…bcff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.65
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$54.89
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.12
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$7.49
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.55
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.58
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.89
Will Israel win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.63
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$12.44
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.52
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.43
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$11.85
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$10.89
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.58
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+143.9%+$15.31
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.48
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$18.04
Will Como win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19.59
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$8.31
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.35
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.75
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$48.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.