TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No46c22,916$10,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,464.591,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No49c9,529$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.1321560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes51c7,842$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes50c7,669$3,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.411643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes50c5,434$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6911758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No49c5,129$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.8113050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No50c4,491$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.346960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes50c3,306$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.2114654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Yes76c2,935$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No50c2,700$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3623145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No50c2,405$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.341850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No51c2,036$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.243265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b3…fd19backed Yes50c2,011$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4601250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes52c1,925$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.088435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes53c1,698$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7959140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c1,304$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0423153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.828041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No49c1,200$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes64c1,196$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.13158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes49c1,186$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6312050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c1,064$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.41,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes48c1,019$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.237529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.396349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes53c950.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No50c933$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.54772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No50c868.89$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.0223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No49c859.98$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.492055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes52c714.92$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes54c664.18$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2724642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No49c628.33$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f1…9599backed Yes52c500.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes52c500.48$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes48c499.23$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.634845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes49c410.67$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.512931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e80…b1e7backed Yes51c395.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes51c394.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No52c361.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes55c320.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32c6…c7d1backed Yes51c296.78$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes50c277.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No49c274.43$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14011355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No50c259.6$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9320860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed No49c248.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes50c208.03$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2c…1733backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes52c193.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Yes49c185.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes49c173.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No40c165$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.49051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes51c160.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x003b…fc58backed Yes27c132.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes68c128.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.37546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062e…9747backed Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes47c124.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes50c121$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.59156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes11c109.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.082630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+204.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-77.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0bb…a95bbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes49c101.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f6…ad20backed Yes49c101.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7308…2b0abacked Yes77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x352e…2241backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4174…9008backed Yes50c99.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…212abacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.