TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No74c27,679$20,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,585.8917852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes62c20,446$12,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,806.469336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c11,379$8,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,207.311,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes32c7,944$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,441.419028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes33c2,991$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.725360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No1c2,528$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.152832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes26c2,308$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.692821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No68c2,222$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.8818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c2,050$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39440222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No69c1,964$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No74c1,525$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.099857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No50c1,466$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7738343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes30c1,373$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.692540%10 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes63c1,358$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50420343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No47c1,325$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.286735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes44c1,320$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.3712737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes43c1,203$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.220462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes59c1,032$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6716136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes26c979.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes23c941.04$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.467052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes26c914.41$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.6610051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No66c900$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c766$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.6529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e47…0661backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c740.95$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked No77c642.86$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817f…45cdbacked Yes33c606.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+174.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41419755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No36c596.75$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.134740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes29c585.83$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.824047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes35c572$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.86443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No74c540.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes36c533.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.854621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes33c502.78$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.8622147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c500.86$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8912938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3754944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c429.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0322054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes63c417$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No51c388.91$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0214952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes34c387.02$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.924963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c375.49$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.51,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No70c357.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No68c315.44$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4430657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22819344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd728…9828backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+163.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251d…a711backed Yes28c299.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+145.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes62c272.3$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4717048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2713534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273520%7 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No36c269.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.038259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No65c263.08$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes25c238.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf89f…bd07backed Yes63c231.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+163.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes67c224.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2317560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No56c212.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.414044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a7a…66acbacked Yes29c208.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1426241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.254047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12824742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3120133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No69c185$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Yes64c179.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No75c175$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324060%24 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No68c171.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed Yes58c171.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.531546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes36c165.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.322944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No69c141.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.923619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee5…4fe8backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes29c130$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed No40c129.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6a…d6aebacked No77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes23c129.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No40c125.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes32c124.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.13345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Yes36c120.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes27c113$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4913238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc277…b59bbacked Yes34c104.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes27c100.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.191844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3429142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f1…958ebacked Yes64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes63c87.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3311135.1%39 W · 72 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes50c82.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.457136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec73…6af3backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.