Champions League · resolved market
Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3c9f3b873a3cd9fdc36b644df31c70d5d084b371c15fd9eb7adf699c93ff48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 17,368$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.67 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…d3a9backed No | 72c | 5,555$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…a159backed Yes | 28c | 5,002$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…0f3fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,997$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 28c | 4,785$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.73 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked No | 72c | 4,444$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 73c | 3,707$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.85 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 67c | 3,540$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,407$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.89 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 33c | 2,253$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.46 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bb97backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 1,236$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 999.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Yes | 41c | 847.38$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 784.28$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 71c | 717.59$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 673.33$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.27 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 655$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 7c | 476.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.79 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 71c | 444.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 24c | 399.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 29c | 345.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 322$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 27c | 311.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 294$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 28c | 292.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 27c | 261.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 73c | 219.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 75c | 217$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…0b78backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 182.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 28c | 175.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 72c | 162.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 160.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 27c | 160.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed No | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…33a2backed Yes | 28c | 136.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 27c | 125.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…7c31backed No | 73c | 122$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…17a9backed No | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…742bbacked Yes | 28c | 96.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 26c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 28c | 92.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 28c | 72.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 68.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…1002backed Yes | 28c | 50.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 35.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 72c | 27.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabag vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-10-01?No won
- Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.